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Qual 392016 Tesla Division
Red111
43323.9
440123.2
324536.5
Blue132
446841.3
7440.1
54842.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72130050100150111132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#30
36.51.8
34.1→35.9
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 6.5
548
#48
42.90.9
43.2→44.1
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Second
433
#59
23.91.8
21.2→23.0
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 17.4
4468
#16
41.30.9
38.3→39.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
Third
4401
#73
23.21.8
23.0→24.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
blue by 16.9
74
#11
40.10.9
36.3→37.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed82%Capture oddsEarned