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Qual 402016 Tesla Division
Red86
236336.8
27228.5
130632.0
Blue112
543738.1
301538.2
493033.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941135015086112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#40
36.80.8
35.0→34.1
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
blue by 1.4
3015
#31
38.20.0
33.6→33.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
Second
1306
#34
32.00.8
31.7→30.9
Auto8.1
Teleop18.0
End6.0
blue by 6.1
5437
#19
38.10.0
39.6→39.6
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Third
272
#20
28.50.8
27.0→26.1
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 5.3
4930
#49
33.80.0
33.6→33.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned