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Qual 412016 Tesla Division
Red135
125033.3
169056.1
323845.4
Blue109
175637.7
17745.2
32941.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12213650100150200250135109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#4
56.10.3
46.9→47.2
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 10.9
177
#21
45.21.7
44.6→42.9
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
3238
#15
45.40.3
40.9→41.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 3.7
329
#14
41.71.7
43.4→41.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Third
1250
#28
33.30.3
32.7→33.0
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
blue by 4.3
1756
#43
37.71.7
42.1→40.3
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed70%Capture oddsMissed