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Red72
622130.9
505334.9
613417.4
Blue118
580432.1
448843.6
501631.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411205010015072118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#35
34.90.2
31.631.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
blue by 8.7
43.60.7
42.843.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Second
6221
#47
30.90.2
27.427.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
blue by 1.1
5804
#42
32.10.7
30.731.4
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
Third
6134
#63
17.40.2
10.110.3
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End3.6
blue by 13.6
5016
#26
31.10.7
28.729.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed41%Capture oddsEarned