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Qual 442016 Tesla Division
Red80
580921.5
591223.5
385326.0
Blue84
78126.7
617128.9
162217.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70730501001502002508084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3853
#64
26.00.1
24.5→24.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End4.0
blue by 3.0
6171
#39
28.90.6
28.3→28.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Second
5912
#72
23.50.1
23.5→23.6
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 3.2
781
#62
26.70.6
26.6→27.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
Third
5809
#71
21.50.1
20.7→20.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 3.5
1622
#75
17.90.6
15.2→15.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed