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Qual 462016 Tesla Division
Red84
186032.8
6632.0
315825.8
Blue91
365529.4
18135.5
167539.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102100607080901101201308491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1860
#67
32.80.9
34.2→33.4
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
blue by 6.5
1675
#10
39.30.6
35.4→34.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
Second
66
#65
32.00.9
32.6→31.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
blue by 3.5
181
#44
35.50.6
36.0→35.4
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
3158
#69
25.80.9
30.1→29.2
Auto7.8
Teleop16.0
End2.0
blue by 3.6
3655
#53
29.40.6
28.6→28.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsMissed