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Qual 472016 Tesla Division
Red81
303933.6
140530.1
11142.4
Blue112
252234.4
205440.1
180648.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121305010015020081112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
42.42.0
48.1→46.0
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
blue by 6.3
1806
#5
48.71.1
46.0→44.9
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
Second
3039
#25
33.62.0
32.5→30.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.0
End4.8
blue by 6.6
2054
#23
40.11.1
44.2→43.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Third
1405
#60
30.12.0
31.2→29.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
blue by 4.3
2522
#13
34.41.1
33.7→32.5
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsMissed