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Red103
219436.7
42326.3
511446.3
Blue148
233734.9
490532.3
313046.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108124050150200250103148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#38
46.30.3
45.445.1
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
blue by 0.3
46.60.6
47.147.7
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
Second
2194
#45
36.70.3
37.337.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
red by 1.8
2337
#33
34.90.6
38.138.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
423
#36
26.30.3
24.724.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
blue by 6.0
4905
#37
32.30.6
33.534.1
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
55%Capture oddsMissed68%Capture oddsMissed