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Qual 602016 Tesla Division
Red100
567726.9
109939.8
54842.9
Blue147
313046.6
130632.0
18135.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311850100150200100147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#48
42.91.4
44.1→42.7
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
blue by 3.7
3130
#9
46.61.5
47.7→49.2
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
Second
1099
#17
39.81.4
38.8→37.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
red by 4.2
181
#44
35.51.5
35.4→36.9
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
5677
#54
26.91.4
27.7→26.4
Auto7.1
Teleop16.0
End3.8
blue by 5.2
1306
#34
32.01.5
30.9→32.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed46%Capture oddsMissed