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Qual 592016 Tesla Division
Red80
493033.8
440123.2
356019.9
Blue129
11142.4
54028.4
503033.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410905015020080129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#49
33.80.2
33.6→33.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
blue by 8.6
111
#24
42.41.5
46.0→47.6
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
Second
4401
#73
23.20.2
24.9→25.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
blue by 10.1
5030
#57
33.31.5
28.6→30.2
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Third
3560
#74
19.90.2
18.3→18.5
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
blue by 8.5
540
#66
28.41.5
26.1→27.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned