Skip to content
Qual 582016 Tesla Division
Red111
580921.5
261936.7
125033.3
Blue117
303933.6
205667.8
605522.9
10%Model gave it90%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8513250100150200111117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#22
36.71.4
35.6→37.1
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
blue by 31.1
2056
#1
67.80.3
67.8→67.5
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
Second
1250
#28
33.31.4
33.0→34.5
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
blue by 0.2
3039
#25
33.60.3
30.5→30.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.0
End4.8
Third
5809
#71
21.51.4
20.8→22.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 1.4
6055
#58
22.90.3
23.4→23.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned46%Capture oddsEarned