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Qual 572016 Tesla Division
Red112
301538.2
543925.3
448843.6
Blue100
241543.8
42326.3
439142.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9811750150200112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#7
43.60.9
43.6→44.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
blue by 0.2
2415
#51
43.80.7
42.5→41.8
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
Second
3015
#31
38.20.9
33.6→34.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
blue by 3.8
4391
#8
42.00.7
44.1→43.4
Auto14.1
Teleop20.4
End7.5
Third
5439
#50
25.30.9
21.0→22.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 0.9
423
#36
26.30.7
24.4→23.6
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsMissed