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Qual 562016 Tesla Division
Red83
162217.9
501631.1
621929.7
Blue172
3357.3
17745.2
151028.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651365010015020083172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#26
31.10.3
29.4→29.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
blue by 26.3
33
#12
57.32.7
53.8→56.5
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
6219
#27
29.70.3
28.1→28.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
blue by 15.6
177
#21
45.22.7
42.9→45.6
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Third
1622
#75
17.90.3
15.8→16.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 10.6
1510
#61
28.52.7
25.1→27.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed60%Capture oddsEarned