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Qual 552016 Tesla Division
Red99
490532.3
169056.1
505334.9
Blue124
245149.6
167539.3
140530.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611805010015020025099124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#4
56.11.3
47.2→45.9
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 6.5
2451
#2
49.60.3
50.0→50.4
Auto12.6
Teleop30.5
End6.6
Second
5053
#35
34.91.3
31.8→30.5
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
blue by 4.5
1675
#10
39.30.3
34.8→35.2
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
Third
4905
#37
32.31.3
34.1→32.8
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
red by 2.2
1405
#60
30.10.3
29.1→29.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned