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Red84
304441.2
27228.5
591525.0
Blue85
6632.0
252234.4
219436.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881070501508485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#46
41.20.3
39.839.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
red by 4.5
2194
#45
36.71.1
37.035.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
Second
272
#20
28.50.3
26.125.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 5.9
2522
#13
34.41.1
32.531.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
5915
#68
25.00.3
22.622.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 7.0
66
#65
32.01.1
31.830.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsMissed