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Qual 532016 Tesla Division
Red115
43323.9
543738.1
175637.7
Blue116
315825.8
180648.7
617128.9
44%Model gave it56%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106106104108110112114115116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#19
38.10.5
39.6→40.1
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End4.7
blue by 10.6
1806
#5
48.70.5
44.9→45.5
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
Second
1756
#43
37.70.5
40.3→40.8
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0
red by 8.7
6171
#39
28.90.5
28.9→29.4
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Third
433
#59
23.90.5
23.0→23.5
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 2.0
3158
#69
25.80.5
29.2→29.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed