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Qual 522016 Tesla Division
Red108
7440.1
365529.4
580432.1
Blue61
60424.9
78126.7
278335.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028805015020010861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#11
40.10.8
37.3→38.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
red by 4.6
2783
#32
35.51.8
36.1→34.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
Second
5804
#42
32.10.8
31.4→32.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
red by 5.3
781
#62
26.71.8
27.2→25.4
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
Third
3655
#53
29.40.8
28.0→28.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 4.5
604
#55
24.91.8
24.3→22.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
25%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed