Skip to content
Qual 512016 Tesla Division
Red84
622130.9
53718.6
446841.3
Blue93
591223.5
330325.5
323845.4
40%Model gave it60%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859402040601201401608493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#16
41.30.3
39.3→39.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
blue by 4.1
3238
#15
45.40.2
41.2→41.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
6221
#47
30.90.3
27.6→27.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
red by 5.4
3303
#52
25.50.2
25.6→25.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Third
537
#70
18.60.3
17.0→16.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 4.9
5912
#72
23.50.2
23.6→23.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed