Skip to content
Qual 502016 Tesla Division
Red125
543925.3
282339.0
46143.6
Blue123
261936.7
3357.3
585433.0
25%Model gave it75%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90126050150200250125123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#29
43.61.8
41.0→42.8
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End4.9
blue by 13.7
33
#12
57.30.4
53.4→53.8
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
2823
#6
39.01.8
32.6→34.4
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 2.3
2619
#22
36.70.4
35.2→35.6
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
Third
5439
#50
25.31.8
19.2→21.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 7.6
5854
#56
33.00.4
28.2→28.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed47%Capture oddsEarned