Skip to content
Qual 632016 Tesla Division
Red118
32941.7
585433.0
446841.3
Blue129
572623.5
167539.3
180648.7
55%Model gave it45%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131096080100120140160118129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#14
41.70.1
41.7→41.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
blue by 7.0
1806
#5
48.70.8
45.5→46.3
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
Second
4468
#16
41.30.1
39.0→38.9
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
red by 2.0
1675
#10
39.30.8
35.2→36.0
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
Third
5854
#56
33.00.1
28.7→28.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
red by 9.4
5726
#41
23.50.8
26.2→27.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
64%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsEarned