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Qual 642016 Tesla Division
Red79
365529.4
605522.9
261936.7
Blue88
27228.5
43323.9
140530.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94792040601001201407988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#22
36.71.0
37.1→36.1
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
red by 6.6
1405
#60
30.10.6
29.4→30.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
Second
3655
#53
29.41.0
28.8→27.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 0.9
272
#20
28.50.6
25.8→26.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
6055
#58
22.91.0
23.1→22.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 1.0
433
#59
23.90.6
23.5→24.1
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed