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Red103
385326.0
324536.5
6632.0
Blue167
622130.9
17745.2
205667.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8415550100200250103167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#30
36.50.4
37.137.5
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 31.4
67.81.1
67.568.6
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
Second
66
#65
32.00.4
30.731.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
blue by 13.2
177
#21
45.21.1
45.646.7
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Third
3853
#64
26.00.4
24.024.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End4.0
blue by 5.0
6221
#47
30.91.1
27.228.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed61%Capture oddsEarned