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Qual 712016 Tesla Division
Red118
511446.3
236336.8
303933.6
Blue149
32941.7
3357.3
439142.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10615350200250118149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#38
46.30.5
46.2→46.7
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
blue by 11.0
33
#12
57.30.2
56.5→56.7
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
2363
#40
36.80.5
33.7→34.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
blue by 5.2
4391
#8
42.00.2
43.4→43.6
Auto14.1
Teleop20.4
End7.5
Third
3039
#25
33.60.5
30.1→30.7
Auto6.8
Teleop22.0
End4.8
blue by 8.1
329
#14
41.70.2
41.6→41.8
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
50%Capture oddsMissed87%Capture oddsEarned