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Qual 782016 Tesla Division
Red116
365529.4
446841.3
46143.6
Blue152
219436.7
205667.8
613417.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114121406080100140160180116152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#29
43.60.3
44.7→45.0
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End4.9
blue by 24.2
2056
#1
67.82.4
68.6→71.0
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
Second
4468
#16
41.30.3
38.9→39.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
red by 4.5
2194
#45
36.72.4
35.6→37.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
Third
3655
#53
29.40.3
27.8→28.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 12.0
6134
#63
17.42.4
12.2→14.6
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
59%Capture oddsEarned33%Capture oddsEarned