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Qual 792016 Tesla Division
Red135
180648.7
261936.7
448843.6
Blue103
511446.3
151028.5
53718.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13983050100150200135103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#5
48.70.2
46.3→46.5
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
red by 2.4
5114
#38
46.30.6
46.7→47.4
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
Second
4488
#7
43.60.2
44.5→44.7
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
red by 15.1
1510
#61
28.50.6
26.8→27.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Third
2619
#22
36.70.2
36.1→36.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
red by 18.1
537
#70
18.60.6
15.4→16.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
90%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsMissed