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Red100
567726.9
283447.1
32941.7
Blue67
580432.1
543738.1
580921.5
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120955015020010067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.9
44.543.6
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 9.0
5437
#19
38.11.9
39.737.8
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Second
329
#14
41.70.9
41.840.9
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 9.6
5804
#42
32.11.9
33.631.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
Third
5677
#54
26.90.9
27.026.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.0
End3.8
red by 5.4
5809
#71
21.51.9
22.620.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
56%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed