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Qual 832016 Tesla Division
Red111
78126.7
323845.4
324536.5
Blue187
169056.1
27228.5
3357.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10014150200111187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
45.40.2
39.9→40.1
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
blue by 11.9
33
#12
57.32.4
56.7→59.1
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
3245
#30
36.50.2
37.5→37.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 19.7
1690
#4
56.12.4
48.3→50.7
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
Third
781
#62
26.70.2
25.9→26.1
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
blue by 1.8
272
#20
28.52.4
26.5→28.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned52%Capture oddsEarned