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Qual 862016 Tesla Division
Red92
162217.9
241543.8
11142.4
Blue93
330325.5
490532.3
6632.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11288204060801001201401601809293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#51
43.80.9
42.6→41.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
red by 11.5
4905
#37
32.30.1
31.8→31.8
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Second
111
#24
42.40.9
46.3→45.4
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
red by 10.4
66
#65
32.00.1
31.1→31.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
Third
1622
#75
17.90.9
16.7→15.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 7.6
3303
#52
25.50.1
26.1→26.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed