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Red112
617128.9
585433.0
439142.0
Blue117
440123.2
622130.9
313046.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106101050150200250300350400112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.3
43.643.9
Auto14.1
Teleop20.4
End7.5
blue by 4.6
46.61.2
46.447.6
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
Second
5854
#56
33.00.3
31.031.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
red by 2.0
6221
#47
30.91.2
28.329.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
Third
6171
#39
28.90.3
28.028.3
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 5.7
4401
#73
23.21.2
23.825.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed