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Qual 892016 Tesla Division
Red93
60424.9
580432.1
621929.7
Blue152
446841.3
385326.0
169056.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811215010015020093152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#42
32.10.1
31.6→31.5
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
blue by 24.1
1690
#4
56.12.7
50.7→53.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
Second
6219
#27
29.70.1
28.8→28.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
blue by 11.6
4468
#16
41.32.7
39.2→41.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
Third
604
#55
24.90.1
24.4→24.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
blue by 1.0
3853
#64
26.02.7
22.3→25.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed47%Capture oddsEarned