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Qual 902016 Tesla Division
Red95
365529.4
32941.7
54028.4
Blue107
252234.4
591223.5
505334.9
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101885015095107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#14
41.70.4
40.9→40.5
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 6.8
5053
#35
34.90.7
31.9→32.6
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Second
3655
#53
29.40.4
28.1→27.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 5.0
2522
#13
34.40.7
32.5→33.1
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
540
#66
28.40.4
27.0→26.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
red by 4.9
5912
#72
23.50.7
22.8→23.4
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsMissed