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Qual 912016 Tesla Division
Red102
324536.5
572623.5
304441.2
Blue118
448843.6
283447.1
125033.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513150150200102118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#46
41.20.6
41.3→40.7
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
blue by 5.9
2834
#3
47.10.7
43.6→42.9
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
3245
#30
36.50.6
37.7→37.1
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 7.1
4488
#7
43.60.7
44.7→43.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Third
5726
#41
23.50.6
26.6→26.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 9.8
1250
#28
33.30.7
35.5→34.8
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed89%Capture oddsEarned