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Qual 922016 Tesla Division
Red119
6632.0
53718.6
241543.8
Blue99
236336.8
78126.7
140530.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919540608012014011999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#51
43.81.7
41.7→43.3
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
red by 7.0
2363
#40
36.80.2
34.8→34.6
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
Second
66
#65
32.01.7
31.0→32.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
red by 1.9
1405
#60
30.10.2
31.3→31.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
Third
537
#70
18.61.7
16.0→17.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 8.1
781
#62
26.70.2
26.1→25.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned15%Capture oddsMissed