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Qual 932016 Tesla Division
Red127
17745.2
282339.0
503033.3
Blue120
18135.5
330325.5
180648.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211050100150200127120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#21
45.20.7
47.8→48.5
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
blue by 3.5
1806
#5
48.70.8
46.5→47.3
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
Second
2823
#6
39.00.7
38.1→38.8
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 3.5
181
#44
35.50.8
35.9→36.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
5030
#57
33.30.7
30.7→31.4
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
red by 7.8
3303
#52
25.50.8
26.1→26.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned