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Qual 942016 Tesla Division
Red102
313046.6
315825.8
301538.2
Blue94
205440.1
591525.0
261936.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710440608014016018010294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#9
46.60.6
47.6→47.0
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
red by 6.5
2054
#23
40.10.6
43.1→42.4
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Second
3015
#31
38.20.6
36.6→36.0
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
red by 1.5
2619
#22
36.70.6
36.3→35.7
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
Third
3158
#69
25.80.6
27.3→26.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.0
End2.0
red by 0.8
5915
#68
25.00.6
23.9→23.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsMissed