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Semifinal 1-22016 Tesla Division
Red207
140530.1
205667.8
169056.1
Blue180
241543.8
313046.6
304233.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121390100300400500600207180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.0
67.967.8
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 21.2
46.60.3
46.646.8
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
Second
56.10.0
56.256.1
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 12.4
2415
#51
43.80.3
43.744.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
Third
1405
#60
30.10.0
30.230.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
blue by 3.3
3042
#18
33.40.3
33.433.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3