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Semifinal 1-32016 Tesla Division
Red209
169056.1
205667.8
140530.1
Blue145
241543.8
313046.6
304233.4
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111400100300400500209145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
67.80.0
67.8→67.8
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 21.2
3130
#9
46.60.2
46.8→46.6
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
Second
1690
#4
56.10.0
56.1→56.1
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 12.4
2415
#51
43.80.2
44.0→43.8
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
Third
1405
#60
30.10.0
30.1→30.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
blue by 3.3
3042
#18
33.40.2
33.6→33.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3