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Final 22016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red150
198655.1
261439.0
426428.4
Blue185
248155.1
382449.7
474024.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14615650100200250150185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
55.10.2
54.9→55.1
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
Level
2481
#4
55.10.3
54.8→55.1
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
Second
2614
#1
39.00.2
38.9→39.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
blue by 10.7
3824
#3
49.70.3
49.4→49.7
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
Third
4264
#19
28.40.2
28.2→28.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
red by 4.1
4740
#40
24.30.3
24.0→24.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8