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Final 12016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red145
198655.1
261439.0
426428.4
Blue210
248155.1
382449.7
474024.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14815350100200250145210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
55.10.4
55.3→54.9
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
Level
2481
#4
55.10.6
54.2→54.8
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
Second
2614
#1
39.00.4
39.3→38.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
blue by 10.7
3824
#3
49.70.6
48.8→49.4
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
Third
4264
#19
28.40.5
28.7→28.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
red by 4.1
4740
#40
24.30.8
23.2→24.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8