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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red104
171028.8
393746.6
457625.1
Blue109
446234.0
426531.6
348925.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131108050150200250104109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#5
46.60.4
47.0→46.6
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 12.6
4462
#10
34.00.0
33.3→33.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
1710
#24
28.80.5
29.3→28.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
blue by 2.8
4265
#9
31.60.0
31.0→31.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
4576
#25
25.10.4
25.5→25.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End5.0
blue by 0.7
3489
#48
25.80.0
25.2→25.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7