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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red59
171028.8
393746.6
457625.1
Blue104
446234.0
426531.6
348925.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135106608010012016018020059104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#5
46.61.0
48.1→47.0
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 12.6
4462
#10
34.00.1
33.1→33.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
1710
#24
28.81.3
30.5→29.3
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
blue by 2.8
4265
#9
31.60.1
30.9→31.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
4576
#25
25.11.0
26.6→25.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End5.0
blue by 0.7
3489
#48
25.80.1
25.1→25.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7