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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red177
248155.1
382449.7
474024.3
Blue112
178534.7
314030.3
610520.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1619650150200250177112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#4
55.10.2
53.8→53.6
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
red by 20.4
1785
#18
34.70.2
34.6→34.7
Auto12.8
Teleop14.8
End7.1
Second
3824
#3
49.70.2
48.4→48.2
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
red by 19.4
3140
#11
30.30.2
30.1→30.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Third
4740
#40
24.30.2
22.7→22.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 4.3
6105
#45
20.00.2
19.8→20.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3