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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red177
198655.1
261439.0
426428.4
Blue109
28129.0
405034.6
191231.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158113100200250177109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
55.10.1
55.9→55.9
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
red by 20.5
4050
#13
34.60.3
35.2→34.9
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End4.9
Second
2614
#1
39.00.1
39.9→39.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
red by 7.9
1912
#35
31.20.3
31.8→31.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Third
4264
#19
28.40.1
29.5→29.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
blue by 0.6
281
#21
29.00.3
29.7→29.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4