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Semifinal 1-12016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red160
198655.1
261439.0
426428.4
Blue110
384434.7
395935.9
402034.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153130050100200250300160110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
55.10.3
55.5→55.2
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
red by 19.2
3959
#6
35.90.4
36.6→36.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
2614
#1
39.00.3
39.4→39.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
red by 4.3
3844
#7
34.70.5
35.6→35.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Third
4264
#19
28.40.4
28.9→28.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
blue by 6.1
4020
#15
34.50.4
35.2→34.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End7.3