Skip to content
Qual 222016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red100
393746.6
453327.4
396622.6
Blue73
171028.8
610520.0
398424.7
95%Model gave it5%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10448015010073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#5
46.60.5
45.8→45.3
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 17.9
1710
#24
28.81.4
23.5→24.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Second
4533
#22
27.40.6
23.0→22.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
red by 2.6
3984
#31
24.71.4
17.3→18.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Third
3966
#28
22.60.5
23.6→23.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 2.6
6105
#45
20.01.4
14.2→15.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed