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Red79
239341.6
426428.4
457625.1
Blue58
319321.4
28129.0
325923.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826320401001207958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#12
41.60.2
37.137.3
Auto8.1
Teleop28.3
End5.3
red by 12.6
281
#21
29.00.4
27.026.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
4264
#19
28.40.2
16.316.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
red by 4.6
3259
#29
23.80.7
19.819.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Third
4576
#25
25.10.1
23.423.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End5.0
red by 3.8
3193
#43
21.40.4
17.417.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed