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Red103
450429.3
314030.3
405034.6
Blue95
398424.7
178534.7
550827.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8665204010012014010395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#13
34.61.7
28.330.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End4.9
blue by 0.2
1785
#18
34.71.9
29.331.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.8
End7.1
Second
3140
#11
30.31.5
27.629.1
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
red by 2.6
5508
#39
27.63.2
18.321.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Third
4504
#17
29.31.5
24.325.9
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End5.7
red by 4.6
3984
#31
24.73.2
18.721.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed