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Red82
426531.6
621925.0
610520.0
Blue118
457625.1
395935.9
446234.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579420408012014016082118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.4
24.925.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 4.3
35.91.8
32.434.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
6219
#38
25.00.6
20.421.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
blue by 9.0
4462
#10
34.03.1
29.532.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Third
6105
#45
20.00.6
15.916.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3
blue by 5.2
4576
#25
25.11.8
23.525.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned