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Red81
171028.8
28129.0
518623.8
Blue97
261439.0
550827.6
574418.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78760501001502002503008197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#21
29.00.4
27.928.2
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4
blue by 10.0
39.01.5
34.235.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
Second
1710
#24
28.80.6
28.629.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 1.2
5508
#39
27.62.5
25.027.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Third
5186
#36
23.80.6
19.019.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 5.3
5744
#27
18.52.5
15.317.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed