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Red119
610520.0
393746.6
198655.1
Blue72
314030.3
348925.8
131922.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132755010015020011972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.0
55.055.0
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
red by 24.8
3140
#11
30.30.6
29.128.5
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Second
46.60.0
46.646.6
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 20.8
3489
#48
25.80.6
24.924.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7
Third
6105
#45
20.00.1
18.017.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3
blue by 2.8
1319
#41
22.80.6
27.326.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed